Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.002349 0.002489 0.002639 0.002811 0.003004 0.003216 0.003469
2025-02-09 0.002185 0.002386 0.002613 0.002891 0.003228 0.003632 0.004163
2025-02-16 0.002040 0.002274 0.002549 0.002902 0.003357 0.003940 0.004780
2025-02-23 0.001969 0.002234 0.002557 0.002991 0.003580 0.004394 0.005689
2025-03-02 0.001860 0.002135 0.002478 0.002952 0.003623 0.004600 0.006284
2025-03-09 0.001757 0.002034 0.002385 0.002882 0.003606 0.004707 0.006742
2025-03-16 0.001716 0.002009 0.002387 0.002938 0.003777 0.005130 0.007904
2025-03-23 0.001677 0.001981 0.002382 0.002982 0.003930 0.005554 0.009267
2025-03-30 0.001617 0.001921 0.002329 0.002949 0.003956 0.005755 0.010233
2025-04-06 0.001546 0.001844 0.002246 0.002865 0.003886 0.005760 0.010707
2025-04-13 0.001496 0.001793 0.002196 0.002826 0.003886 0.005905 0.011668
2025-04-20 0.001413 0.001694 0.002075 0.002669 0.003669 0.005570 0.010987
2025-04-27 0.001385 0.001670 0.002064 0.002689 0.003774 0.005952 0.013023
2025-05-04 0.001372 0.001668 0.002083 0.002759 0.003981 0.006622 0.017154
2025-05-11 0.001344 0.001642 0.002066 0.002769 0.004076 0.007063 0.021359
2025-05-18 0.001335 0.001645 0.002091 0.002849 0.004322 0.007998 0.033061
2025-05-25 0.001299 0.001605 0.002050 0.002814 0.004326 0.008256 0.041197
2025-06-01 0.001259 0.001558 0.001994 0.002749 0.004259 0.008280 0.047105
2025-06-08 0.001248 0.001553 0.002005 0.002801 0.004454 0.009235 0.100315
2025-06-15 0.001234 0.001545 0.002008 0.002841 0.004628 0.010245 0.603761
2025-06-22 0.001207 0.001514 0.001975 0.002811 0.004634 0.010612 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001171 0.001470 0.001919 0.002734 0.004517 0.010416 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001145 0.001440 0.001885 0.002698 0.004499 0.010655 NaN